If you love something, always find out how its made!

Hey guys, I'm just your average attention whore seeker, whatever my ign for forum is.


So today I decided to talk about Latale, The game that I daisuke with all my heart.
Kawaii characters
Kawaii backgrounds
Pools up to 1 million dollars and still has shit servers and cant do a proper maintenance without some bug issue.
 And most importantly, story plot.

that's irony because no one gives a cluck for the story.

Anyways I decided to dedicate this small thread to the one thing I absolutely love about this game: Probability.

See, you can't escape probability from the moment you are born.
"Why didn't I get laid tonight, I even body sprayed my junk"
"Why is my first kiss with a body pillow?"

See life is all about probability and we all have something that we had to take even if it meant shitty chance.
So why am I talking about probability, if probability is a fixed chance of something happening?

well...... not exactly.

See in real life you have a fixed chance of a probable cause, like getting struck by lightning is more common than winning the lotto. 
But, when it comes to probability ONLINE or IN GAME then its not a fixed probability. It is all computed in the computers algorithm and depending on the programmer, lets just say that those % you see when you do something, is all a bunch of baloney.

You ever played this game and it was like, lets take for example a common enchantment and let make it fixed 95% all the way to lvl 10, and you decide "ok lets enchant" and then you failed on your first try?

See, the way a computers algorithm works, is what I like to call "temptress", sure its beautiful and its giving you all the signals you want to see, but as soon as you Detroit smash that abyss with your wiener dog, youre in for a helluva fun court time. Anyways, the next sentence is going to be about puppies.

puppies.

This is how it works btw:

You tell the computer "Ok this is 95%" and instead of thinking of it like, oh its 95%, theres basically a 9/10 chance I will succeed" think of it more of like "theres a half chance I will receive 95% or 5%" because that's what basically the computer algorithm computes. 

Now youre thinking "well if that's the case, I should be able to upgrade my ygg badge with a 50% chance" and to that... No. See the algorithm always favors the worst choice. That is a fact.
See the higher the rate something is, the less it will appear, that's why there are people who can fail at 99%, like... 99% of the time lol. ridiculous, but true.

This leads to the question of Loot boxes, or gamble as we call them here. Were not going to argue the fact that in game gambling is illegal, and you should tell your local governor of the hideousness of gamble boxes. (Reason why I suspect this game doesn't want to show whats inside a gamble box, and their percentage. Mostly whats in them.)

 anyways I already told my local governor of the gamble boxes in this game. so I encourage ya to do the same, back to the point though.

The best way to understand how a gamble box works, is if you go to dragon nest right now, and buy a dragon egg. You will be prompted to a screen that will roll out a picture showing what you can get, and the times it appears. You're lucky I have no life so I slowed it down to the point I can see everything.

For Latale purposes, since its a different game, I will categorize what I believe to be the rates for the things you want, they will be categorized under one category.

Common (contains things that doesn't reach a world mic):  I give this peculiar item a whopping 63.2015437999 percent, or 63 percent if you round it off. yeah lets round it. 

Rare: Commonly colored blue, these items contains the non-special part of the gamble, you can tier royal blessing and fish buckets into these. 24 percent.

Epic: Commonly colored orange in most MMO. These normally contain things that you should have, but its not neccesarilly needed. Experience potions and most buffs will be placed here.  20%

Uniques: These contains should have. Things like gems and afterimage coupon. these are around 2.5% chance to get.

Legendary: These are the prices that you should be having before it leaves from the gamble boxes, once they are gone, its over. Pets and specialized items are put here. you would think its 0.5% to complete 100%, but that is the fun part. chances of getting something along these lines are a thin rope you can walk on, but shouldn't. 0.2 percent chance to get these.

Now I categorized each to make everything simple. Basically each time you open a gamble box, you are playing around with those numbers, basically you are playing with the NUMBERS, not the probability.

The numbers would jump from rank to rank, which should explain why I can sometimes get afterimage 3 fucking times in a row, but not a pet. fuck you algorithm.

anyways, I hope I explained it in a simple way. I chewed a lot of things and didn't spit all of it out, so theres chunk and stuff missing that I want to write, but youre gonna need a degree in science to understand what I'm talking about.

Basically, the computer is made to harass you, so you spend more than needed, which is worst than playing in a casino and having a dealer deal you cards or whatever, at least you can use their tricks against them. You cant do the same on a computer.

Theres a neato package you can install that shows probability when doing something online, but it has to know basic info of the game.

On one game I played (I wont say which) there was a 0.00008 chance to acquire what you want but if you played your luck right, you could get it at a 91% chance, because it knew how the game dictated choices.

to that, you have to find it on your own :P
this little baby is staying with me <3